Predictions on the City of Houston elections, Nov. 8, 2005

Mayor: Bill White by a big margin. But I do not think that he breaks Mayor Bob Lanier's record of 92%. Just too many Republicans who cannot forget that he was the State Democratic Chair. I would say Mayor Bill gets around 85%.

At-Large 1; Peter Brown is a walk. At least 70% of the vote.

At-Large 2: Never underestimate the role that women play in voting in City elections. For that reason I give Sue Lovell an edge in this race. Jay Aiyer and Poli Acosta run neck to neck to see who gets in a runoff with Sue. I don't think her sexual orientation with hurt her as it has not been an open issue in this race. In fact the anti proposition 2 turnout in Houston may help her.

District C: See above on the role of women. So I think Ann Clutterbuck is in the runoff with some male candidate. Herman Litt could be that person. But George Hittner could also be right up there.

District F: Which Khan wins? M.A or K.A.? Could be some confusion in this race. It depends if the incumbent M.A. Khan has done a good job in letting folks know that he is the City Council Member.

State election:

Prop 2: Of course this amendment on same sex marriages will pass in the State of Texas. Houston could be about 35% of the statewide vote so it is important in this election. It will pass also in Houston but by a smaller margin. Could be in the middle 50%'s state wide.

State Rep Dist. 143: The two attractive Democratic women in a run off. Ana Hernandez and Laura Salinas.

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