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  • Previous posting: Clinton win in PA should raise questions about Obama; April 23, 2008; 4:34 p.m.
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  • May 2, 2008; 11:20 a.m.
    Obama has a bad week.

    Sometimes events over take political campaigns and this week Rev. Wright’s press conference at the National Press Club has overtaken the Obama campaign. In fact the latest polls show that even with Obama separating himself from the Reverend he is going down in the polls and has lost support in Indiana and North Carolina.

    What happened? Democrats stopped and took a hard look at Wright’s comments and decided that just perhaps Obama shared some of them or why else would he have remained a member of that Church for over 20 years. In one poll, just 32% of Democrats thought that Obama was surprised by Wright’s comments. So the Senators creditability is being questioned. That along with the “bitter” comment in CA has put a dent in Senator Obama’s persona.

    Obama’s electability is now in question and that could influence the so called Super Delegates. For instance McCain now leads Obama in the heads up race and Obama does more poorly against McCain then does Clinton.

    Polls could change and will probably do so. Obama must win two or more of the next four primaries to show that he can overcome these problems. If he does not then Senator Clinton will be in a position to show that she is the most electable candidate.

    I am still an Obama supporter, but I am worried about his lack of support from blue collar Democrats, from seniors and from women. He needs to change his tactics and come out fighting hard for the nomination. He needs to win and win by a good margin.

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    Sometimes events over take political campaigns and this week Rev. Wright’s press conference at the National Press Club has overtaken the Obama campaign.  In fact the latest polls show that even with Obama separating himself from the Reverend he is going down in the polls and has lost support in Indiana and North Carolina. 
     
    What happened?  Democrats stopped and took a hard look at Wright’s comments and decided that just perhaps Obama shared some of them or why else would he have remained a member of that Church for over 20 years.  In one poll, just 32% of Democrats thought that Obama was surprised by Wright’s comments.  So the Senators creditability is being questioned.   That along with the “bitter” comment in CA has put a dent in Senator Obama’s persona.
     
    Obama’s electability is now in question and that could influence the so called Super Delegates. For instance McCain now leads Obama in the heads up race and Obama does more poorly against McCain then does Clinton.
     
    Polls could change and will probably do so.  Obama must win two or more of the next four primaries to show that he can overcome these problems.  If he does not then Senator Clinton will be in a position to show that she is the most electable candidate.
     
    I am still an Obama supporter, but I am worried about his lack of support from blue collar Democrats, from seniors and from women.   He needs to change his tactics and come out fighting hard for the nomination. He needs to win and win by a good margin.
     
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  • Previous posting: Clinton win in PA should raise questions about Obama; April 23, 2008; 4:34 p.m.
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