“He’s just a joke – he could never win” rapidly turned into “he might be doing well, but it’s still early,” then advanced to “there is still a chance for a brokered convention” and then progressed all the way to “well, he might have just won the Republican nomination, but he could never win the general election.” The perception of Trump’s campaign has shifted drastically since its inception last summer, and a recent poll suggests that it might go even farther than some are now expecting. While many have praised Hillary Clinton as the one to save the nation from a Trump presidency and have believed with full conviction that such a task will be easy for the former Secretary of State, it now appears that they may need to look elsewhere for their savior.
The latest Fox News Poll shows Trump leading Hillary in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup. According to Fox, “Trump has a 45-42 percent edge over Clinton, if the presidential election were held today. That’s within the poll’s margin of sampling error. Last month, Clinton was up by 48-41 percent, however.” This reveals that Trump’s campaign has garnered even more momentum than many pundits had predicted, as the conviction that Hillary will handedly win in a general election is evidently flawed.
On a demographic level, Hillary does lead among women by 14%. Among solely white women, however, Trump leads by 9%. Among men, Trump leads by a 22-point margin. Among blacks and Hispanics, Clinton dominates Trump. She maintains an 82-point lead among black voters and a 39-point lead among Hispanic constituents.
Fox also points to another interesting point, which is that Bernie is defeating Trump in the same hypothetical head-to-head matchup. “The poll shows Bernie Sanders has a 46-42 percent advantage over Trump in a hypothetical matchup. Sanders was up by 53-39 percent in April. However, the Vermont senator trails Clinton in the Democratic nomination race by what is considered an insurmountable number of delegates.”
Are you surprised that Trump is now leading Hillary in a national poll? What about the fact that Sanders is beating Trump in the same matchup?